Sunday, August 10, 2008

Well, Well, Well

One price of dictatorship is economic collapse. Iraq under Saddam had been declining, and the decline was accelerating as he diverted dwindling oil revenue to the buy the weapons his paranoia drove him to buy. Rather than become an economic powerhouse through top-notch development of Iraq's oil reserves, Iraq became a nation on the way down while its leader barricaded himself against his enemies, both real and imaginary. That's what happens when one man has total control for a few decades.

It now appears that some sane people are making sane decisions that will do wonders for the Iraqi economy. The goal is to increase Iraqi oil production to 4.5 million barrels a day. At $100 a barrel, that $450 million a day for Iraq. At that price, a year of production would bring in $165 BILLION.

That much revenue is enough to fund a dramatic -- stunning -- advance of a country that has been a muslim backwater since its creation roughly 75 years ago. The only obstacle to success is the essentially self-defeating nature of too many muslims. But there's no shortage of capital to build a modern country. Thus, Iraq will fund its own Marshall Plan.

Iraq resumes oil exploration after 20-year break

Aug 8, 2008

Iraq said on Friday it was resuming exploration of its immense oil reserves after a break of nearly 20 years due to crippling UN sanctions, saying it hopes to double its proven deposits of crude.

"Today the Iraqi oil ministry celebrates a return to work by Iraqi oil exploration teams after 20 years of interruption," ministry spokesman Assim Jihad told AFP.

Oil Minister Hussein Hussein al-Shahristani was to attend a ceremony to mark the event at the Al-Garraf field near Nasiriyah, 350 kilometres (220 miles) south of Baghdad, Jihad said.

He said the ministry would deploy three exploration teams trained abroad in the latest techniques.

OPEC member Iraq hopes the squads will uncover deposits that will enable it to double its proven oil reserves, currently standing at 115 billion barrels of crude.

With the dollar strengthening on Friday, crude prices in London slumped below 116 dollars a barrel amid concerns about slower energy demand and as Iraq resumed exploration.

Brent North Sea crude for September delivery shed two dollars to 115.86 dollars per barrel in electronic deals.

After the regime of now executed dictator Saddam Hussein invaded Kuwait in August 1990, the United Nations imposed a strict oil embargo on Iraq, forcing it to cease exploration and cut back drastically on exports.

A UN "oil-for-food" programme between 1996 and 2003 allowed Baghdad to sell oil in exchange for humanitarian goods it lacked because of the sanctions.

However Saddam's government allegedly embezzled millions of dollars from the scheme, sparking a scandal that caused major embarrassment to the United Nations.

Iraq now wants to ramp up output by 500,000 barrels per day (bpd) from the current average production of 2.5 million bpd, about equal to the amount being pumped before the US-led invasion of March 2003.

Exports of 2.11 million bpd currently form the bulk of the war-torn nation's revenues, and the oil ministry is keen to raise capacity over the next five years to 4.5 million bpd.

On Tuesday, a US government report said Iraq was amassing a huge budget surplus of soaring oil export revenues but spending little on reconstruction, leaving the financial burden on the United States.

Counting Baghdad's actual budget balance for 2005 to 2007, and the projected budget of 2008, Iraq would have amassed a surplus of up to 79.3 billion dollars on the back of high prices, the Government Accounting Office said.

But little of that money is going toward maintaining and rebuilding key civil infrastructure, it said.

The report said Iraq's capital spending has been hampered by the lack of trained personnel, weak budgeting and procurement processes, and ongoing violence across the country.

At the end of June, the oil ministry threw open six oilfields and two gas fields for international bidding by 41 companies, the contracts for which are expected to be signed in June next year. The deals, which are service contracts only, pave the way for energy firms based abroad to return to Iraq 36 years after Saddam threw them out.

The International Energy Agency, in a report released in mid-2006, said only 10 percent of Iraq has been explored for oil and 60 percent of proven reserves are in undeveloped fields.


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